Economy, Finance and Trade

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Article

Global Economic Outlook: Q3 2025

25 Aug 25

The global economy began adapting to a shifting trade landscape and demonstrated resilience in H1 2025, supported by easing energy prices and front-loading trade activity. However, fresh US tariff hikes and persistent uncertainty are set to constrain global growth from H2 2025.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Event

MoneyLIVE North America

The Radisson Blu Aqua Hotel, Chicago 221 N Columbus Dr S, Chicago, IL 60601 15 September 2025 09:15 CT

MoneyLIVE North America is one of the most influential events in the banking and payments industry across the USA and Canada. Scheduled for September 15–16, 2025, in Chicago, IL, the event brings together over 800 senior leaders.

Kendrick Sands

Kendrick Sands

Article

US-Vietnam Trade Deal: Key Things to Know

24 Jul 25

On 2 July, a trade deal between the US and Vietnam was announced. Under the agreement, US goods will enter Vietnam duty-free, while the US will charge a 20% tariff on imports from Vietnam, instead of the 46% tariff announced in April. In addition, a new “transshipment” agreement was announced, which will charge a 40% tariff rate on goods from other countries that pass through Vietnam on the way to the US market. The new trade deal marks a significant milestone for Vietnam and will have an impact on production networks across Asia.

Justinas Liuima

Justinas Liuima

Video

US Economy at Risk from Prolonged Tariff Policies

3 Jul 25

Our economic growth forecasts for the US have been revised downwards for 2025 at the same time as inflation forecasts have risen. In this video, Lan Ha, Head of Insights for Economies and Consumers, examines the impact of continuing tariffs and escalations of the trade war, which could push the US economy into recession with inflation rising to 6-7%. This stagflation scenario complicates business strategies, threatening profit margins and requiring new growth avenues. However, scenario planning can help businesses navigate this uncertain environment and identify new growth opportunities.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Article

Economic Volatility and Uncertainty Dominate Trump’s First 100 Days in Office

28 Apr 25

The first 100 days of a US Presidency typically set the tone for the future administration. President Trump’s second term has started with chaos and uncertainty, marked by a global trade war, financial market turmoil, an increased risk of recession, spending and federal government cuts as well as threats of mass deportation. We present a summary of Euromonitor’s analysis published since Trump’s re-election, representing the uncertainty and rapid policy shifts at the time. Despite the turbulence, agile businesses can still find opportunities as global supply chains and consumer behaviour evolve.

Euromonitor International

Euromonitor International

Article

Top Five Trends in Global Business Dynamics

26 Mar 25

Global businesses are facing a highly uncertain environment, as growing geopolitical tensions and trade protectionist policies can accelerate the challenges of supply shortages, a tight labour market and lower productivity. Euromonitor identifies the top five trends in business dynamics that are shaping the global business landscape today and beyond.

Aiste Bijune

Aiste Bijune

Article

Trump Impact: Asia Pacific to See New Trade and Investment Dynamics

10 Mar 25

With US President Donald Trump’s second term officially beginning from January 2025, momentum is building around significant changes to US trade policy, specifically around higher tariffs and restrictions aimed at reducing the US’s trade deficits.

Sowmya Ramaswami

Sowmya Ramaswami

Article

What Is a Macro Model?

19 Feb 25

A macro model is an analytical tool designed to replicate the operation of an economy—either global or national. Macroeconomic forecasts allow policymakers and business executives to stay ahead of risks and spot opportunities to compare different strategic options.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Article

Global Economic Outlook: Q1 2025

18 Feb 25

The global economy has started 2025 on a firm footing, on the back of easing inflation, improving financial conditions and a resilient performance by the US economy. Nevertheless, the outlook is fragile, with key risks stemming from heightened policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, compelling businesses to adapt their operations and supply chains for potential policy and economic shifts.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Article

Chart of the Month: Countries with Highest and Lowest Inflation Rates in 2025

30 Jan 25

Our Chart of the Month series provides visuals that can help you navigate economic uncertainty and make informed decisions on spending, investment, and consumer engagement. This month, we are looking at global inflation.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Article

Trump’s Renewed Presidency: Effects on Economy, Inflation, Trade and Emerging Markets

22 Nov 24

Potential policy changes under a renewed Trump presidency could have far-reaching effects on the US and global economies. Proposed tax cuts may deliver short-term boosts to investment and income in the US but risk creating medium- and long-term challenges. Immigration and trade policy shifts are likely to drive higher inflationary pressures domestically and globally, while increased tariffs could disrupt international trade and accelerate efforts by companies to de-risk and diversify supply chains.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Article

Global Economic Outlook: Q4 2024

14 Nov 24

In the last quarter of 2024, the global economy continues to see steady growth, as inflation has moderated, private consumption has been sustained and monetary policy has started to ease in key markets. Nevertheless, short- and medium-term growth prospects are challenged by rising geopolitical risks and growing policy uncertainty.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Event

AIM Congress

Abu Dhabu 7 May 2024 15:25 GST

AIM Congress (Annual Investment Meeting) is an initiative of the AIM Global Foundation, an independent international organization fully committed to empower the world’s economy by boosting effective promotion strategies and facilitating opportunities for economic productivity and expansion.

Sowmya Ramaswami

Sowmya Ramaswami

Article

Global Economic Outlook: Q1 2024

13 Feb 24

In 2024, the global economy is expected to register slowing growth for the second consecutive year. This is primarily due to the dampening effect of high interest rates in most major economies globally, in addition to weakening growth in China, the world’s second largest economy. Yet, this comes after global growth consistently outperformed expectations in 2023, withstanding numerous headwinds, especially ongoing and widening geopolitical tensions.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Event

GCC Future Outlook Summit

Fairmont Dubai, UAE 22 February 2024 09:00 GST

Join Euromonitor International at this event to delve into the dynamic landscape of consumer trends, innovations, and economies.

Sibylle Pomella

Sibylle Pomella

Video

The Global Economy in 2024: Opportunities and Risks

11 Dec 23

While global GDP growth exceeded expectations thus far, the outlook for 2024 suggests subdued growth due to tightened financial conditions and economic slowdown in major economies. To navigate these challenges, your business needs to build resilience in the face of uncertainty and maintain a growth-oriented approach. Watch this video to understand the economic risks and opportunities in 2024.

Lan Ha

Lan Ha

Event

Eyes on Africa: Unlocking Potential Through Digital Transformation

Virtual 22 November 2023 13:00 SAST

With a promising projection of over 76% internet access among sub-Saharan Africans by 2040 and a GDP expected to soar to USD 4.5 Trillion within the same timeframe, the digital revolution unveils unprecedented avenues to tap into this burgeoning future market.

Christele Chokossa

Christele Chokossa

Article

A More Durable Tourism Model: Building Back Better in Europe

1 Sep 23

Building back better is one of the most discussed ideas in tourism this year, particularly in Europe, and especially in the context of the post-pandemic rebound. Euromonitor International’s Sustainable Travel Index offers unique insights into resilience, overtourism, and value creation.

Stephen Dutton

Stephen Dutton